COST
ESCALATION MANAGEMENT IN LOW-INCOME APARTMENT PROJECT
By
Ngo
Quoc Thai
Abstract
Vietnam
has become the official member of the World Trade Organization since 2007. This
dramatic event unfortunately occurred at the same time with the worldwide
financial crisis in 2008 and lasted to the present. Consequently, the real
estate and construction markets are affected strongly by the inflation, the
cost escalation and the tightly controlled credit strategy of the Government.
In
addition, project implementation naturally requires a long time to finish, with
a huge investment capital and various participating parties. Moreover, the
governmental policies in the real estate market and construction industry
usually change and overlap among authorities.
Generally
speaking, real estate developers are facing with complicated issues of
financial structure - the cost
escalation, the slump status of business
market; the worst status of
infrastructure and the incompetency
of management but above all it is the cost overrun in most
of the projects. As a result, costs of housing industry in Viet Nam
can be compared with the neighboring countries.
In order
to survive, real estate developers must devote themselves to researching about
potential cost escalation factors to find out the suitable strategies to reduce
and eliminate their impacts. Developers realized that the risks which must be
dealt with everyday require considerable foresight, attention to details and
tenacity if problems can add costs or cause ineffective overrun. Therefore,
most of the developers want to make the target cost plan is as much tightly
controlled as possible.
Executive summary
Rationale of research
This research has been conducted to identify the factors involving
cost escalation in Apartment projects.
Objectives of study
To study factors
affecting cost escalation and project management activities which can be used
to control cost escalation.
Methodology
The
exploratory research method is used to review the literature and study the cost management at
different stages of project.
Findings and conclusion
Project
value become uncertain by various reasons, and appears in each stage of project
processes. Risk of cost escalation cannot be eliminated, but can be minimized,
transferred or retained. There are some ways for risk arranging such as
transferring, avoiding, reducing the negative effect or absorbing them. Among
the risks, risk of cost escalation play the conclusive role and both parties
have to endure with many disputes if
that factor are not foreseen and discussed to solution before contract signed.
The
active and early identification, analysis and evaluation, with control measures
can reduce the impact of cost escalation factors and urgently needed to ensure
the feasibility and efficiency of the project. Cost escalation management should be valued and
implemented from the first steps of the project and continue to maintain in all
project implementation cycle.
The case in this
report describes a practical implementation in the underground construction
stage of an Apartment project. The project team obviously has revealed
high-risk factors can seriously affect the success of the project. All lessons
need to be conducted and learnt for experience.
The
report just briefly describes the various factors of cost escalation that are
normally influence to Vietnam construction industry. It is obvious that most popular
factors are widely known in construction participants and investors. A standard
mitigation plan of these kinds of risk should be prepared which cover all of potential sources of cost
escalation. This important issue should be discussed widely in project team
include Owner‘s staff, consultants, architects, engineers, contractors.
In the
process of integrating with the world’s economy, Vietnam has been influenced
strongly by positive factors on the cost management, contract administration.
There are many researches to control the cost escalation in construction
projects. However, the following issues are still present and harmful for the
success of a project:
·
Inflation: This issue almost breaking all attempts
to cost controlling.
·
Government: Bureaucracy, Fluctuation; Late in corruption
defense.
·
Contractual Risks : Understanding , obedience ,
respecting the Law
·
Lacking of
transparency:
An unclear environment is the major factor contributing towards cost escalation.
We do believe that engineers who address these
escalation factors when assessing future project cost and who seek to mitigate
the influence of these factors can improve the accuracy of their plan, their
cost estimates and program budget. Author of this study do hope that the future
of project management in Vietnam will be better, the cost escalation will be
well management; these are also the purpose of our work.
Recommendation
For Project Owner
·
Foreseeing
and prepare a contingency plan and preserve a maximum risk premium within
budget.
·
Transferring
partly through a complete strategy in contract
·
Applying
policy of advance payment specified for price escalation to fix the price
during construction time.
·
Maximizing
profit margin to ensure the risk premium can cover the loss from inflation.
·
Postpone
the large project until the financial crisis is over.
·
Put
priority in recruitment the competent team. Periodic training to the staff.
·
Review
the planning and executing work including selection of project delivery method,
development of project documentation and selection of contractors.
·
Transparency
must become core value in overall process.
Auditing and checking project management activities