IN
BAU SEN BUILDING PROJECT
By
Vo
Thanh Phong
Abstract
Variances
in the financial model of a project are unexpected by all involved parties at all
times since they are the critical items turning the project into a loss from an
expected profit. There have been a lot of studies on this subject, but usually
it is done after the project completion to find out the causations and
solutions to those problems to be referenced in the coming projects.
In this
report variances in the financial model between the model being made in the
feasibility study and the model made after the detailed design will be analyzed
in order to find the critical variant items. Assumptions in the critical
variant items will be then investigated to deeply understand the causations.
Recommendations will be proposed to improve the process of financial modeling
for the coming projects.
.
Executive summary
Rationale of research
This research has been conducted to identify the variances
between financial model for feasibility and financial model after design.
Objectives of study
To
study, and understand financial model at feasibility stage and after stage to
identify critical variant items, how they affect cash flow and income of
project.ans propose recommendations for improvement.
Methodology
The exploratory method is used to review the literature and study Design for data to put into financial
model. And critical activities of two financial models will be compared to find
out the variances and causes to propose recommendation.
Findings and conclusion
The above analysis illustrates all the
problems of this project and shows clearly the responsibilities of all the
involved parties in the project.
Why
big variances in the financial model made between the feasibility study and
after the detailed design occurs is answered here. It is obvious that the
owner’s competency, the consultant’s capability and state policies are the main
causes of those variances.
Moreover,
mal-practices of financial modeling and project management also play an
important part in causing those variances.
Also,
lack of collaboration among the stakeholders and unsuitable organizational structure
of the corporation makes assumptions inaccurate and unreal.
As
a result, the owner is the one who will suffer from the loss since those
variances increase the total investment cost dramatically and turn the project
into a loss.
However,
the owner cannot escape due to their big cost input and commitment to the local
authority to proceed the project. Moreover, they cannot insult their trade
brand in the local area as well as on the market. What they can do is to adjust
the project to make it marketable and keep the loss to a minimum level.
·
The
owner should use an appropriate procurement process for consultancy to hire a
competent consultant from the beginning of a project to carry out the designing
of all
·
They
should make agreements with all stakeholders in the project to get them assist
in comments on assumptions as well as other technical issues in all project
stages to make sure the project is on the right track.
·
Matrix
structure in the organization should be used and responsible people should be
appointed to manage the project effectively.
·
Data
for assumptions should be from researches and surveys to be trustable.
·
Components
of the financial model and items in those components should be checked
carefully to be sure that they are sufficient for effective analysis.
·
There
should be an update and forecast for related regulations intended to be issued
to reduce political and commercial risks to a minimum level.