Risks often have negative impacts on
project’s objectives during project life cycle which Figure 1 shows that the
level of risk versus with the level of knowledge on the project throughout
project life cycle. This figure also indicates that pre-construction process is
the most risky process. In addition, pre-construction process is very important
in the development of commercial project in particular and construction project
in general. Because almost the project cost, schedule and quality are defined
initially in this process. Therefore, any change at this time is easier and
take lower cost and time than the following time (see Figure 1 and 2). Fabrycky & Blanchard (1991) and Paulson
(1976) stated that the ability to change decreases continually as the project
progresses, from 100% at project sanction to typically 20% or less by the time
construction starts (Kishk et al., 2003). However, the
pre-construction process in construction industry often involves with risks and
uncertainties (Flanagan & Norman, 1993). Political, social, environment
and other related risk influence pre-construction process while uncertainties
arise from the incomplete knowledge and information of project. Therefore, risk
management is important and essential aspects of the pre-construction process.
Moreover, as much research suggested, addressing project risks earlier rather
than later in the project life cycle can minimize the negative consequence
brought by the risks (Ward and Chapman, 1995; Smith, 2003 cited in P. X. W. Zou, Zhang, & Wang,
2006).
In residential real estate, Owner relates
with project until construction phase finished and project is delivered to
client. On the contrary, Owner involves with whole life cycle of project in
commercial real estate. Flanagan & Jewell (2005) state that an office
building will consume about three times
its initial capital cost over a 25 years period. Therefore, O&M cost is significant element of whole life cycle budget.
Risks which related with pre-construction process not only impact on the design
phase but also construction phase and O&M phase. According to Kirk & Dell’Isola (1995); Kishk et al.
(2003); MacKay (1999), 80-90% percent of the O&M costs is
determined at the design stage. Hence, effective risk management in
pre-construction process can mitigate negative impact and enhance positive
impact of risks on whole life cycle of project.
Although risk management is studied well in theory but
its application in Vietnam construction industry is still very poor, especially
in pre-construction process. That’s the reason why this research is conducted.
The findings of this research are expected to improve current practice of risk
management during pre-construction process in Vietnam commercial project.
Figure
1 The relationship between life cycle cost
saving and time of implementation
Source: Flanagan, 1989
Figure 2 WLC committed, cost incurred, knowledge and ease of change
Source: Fabrycky & Blanchard, 1991
Mr. Tran Thanh Cong
made a research aimed to investigate the risk management practice in
preconstruction process in Vietnam commercial project and help the practitioner
aware of existing critical risk factors associated with early stages of
preconstruction process. This research objectives were to:
1. Investigate the critical risk factors and
its impact on project life cycle of Vietnam commercial project during the
preconstruction process;
2.
Assess current practice of risk management during preconstruction process in
Vietnam commercial project
3.
Propose recommendations for manage effectively the critical risks during
preconstruction process for Vietnam commercial project
1. Critical risks in preconstruction process
With the combination of both quantitative data
and qualitative data, this study has systematically examined the critical risks
affecting Vietnam commercial projects during pre-construction process. Hence,
the critical risk factors are identified. These critical risks include the
following:
a.
Impact on design phase:
i.
(A12) Excessive approval procedure in administrative government departments;
ii.
(A13) Variations by the client;
iii.
(B04) Lack of communication and withholding of information between stakeholders
iv.
(C09) Late apply for detailed planning for approval;
v.
(C20) Errors, omissions and discrepancies in design
vi.
(C19) Design changes by owner or his agent
vii.
(D18) Adversarial relationship between project stakeholders
b.
Impact on construction phase:
i.
(A15) Change in economic parameters
ii.
(C15) Delay in design approval and drawings approval
iii.
(C20) Errors, omissions and discrepancies in design
iv.
(D18) Adversarial relationship between project
stakeholders
v.
(D12) Unknown capability of bidder
c.
Impact on O&M:
i.
(D18) Adversarial relationship between project
stakeholders.
These critical risks above should be paid
more attention to during preconstruction process. The result reflect the risk perception in
Vietnam commercial industry that the risks during preconstruction process have
more critical impact on the design phase and construction phase than O&M
phase.
2. Assessment of current risk management
practice
a) Risk management plan
Risk management planning is often performed
in some projects which applied risk management procedure. The risk register is
usually integrated into risk management plan which is updated rarely during
project life cycle. Although risk management should be carried out throughout
project life cycle, but it’s usually performed at early stage of project
pre-construction process (inception/ feasibility stage). Because that project
managers of three projects agreed that risk management is very important during
pre-construction process while almost the options are open to consideration and
all of the cost, schedule and quality are estimated initially in this process.
Moreover, the earlier risks are managed in
this process, the more effective project implemented. However, risk management
process is often performed unsystematically because the lacking of top
management’s commitment toward risk management and the lacking of assigned risk
management who assist project manager to manage risks.
b) Risk identification
This process is the most important one in
risk management process. In general, this process is well performed in Vietnam
commercial projects. The project scope and project management plan are often
used as key input for this process. The expert judgment is frequently employed
in this process with the expert usually is risk owner. However, project using
the first-of-its-kinds technology, should perform brainstorming session
technique to identify the project risks. The major difficulties existing in
this process are the lacking of historical data and the lacking of top
management’s commitment toward risk management.
c) Risk analysis
The most common technique employed in this
project is expert judgment; the probability and impact matrix. Because the
levels of probability and impact are defined in risk management plan, the risk
owner who is consider as an expert often judges the level of probability and
impact qualitatively. Therefore, bias of risk owner can effect to his judgment.
Each risk is rated based on its location in probability and impact matrix which
is specified in each project. However, quantitative risk analysis isn’t often
conducted. The main reason is the lacking of assigned risk management officer
and lacking of knowledge and experience about risk analysis.
d) Risk response
This study indicated that risk reduction is
the most frequently employed during pre-construction process. This response
strategy is applied on the basis of reduction of risk’s probability and/or
impact. The risk transfer strategy is the second frequently using in this
process. This response strategy can influence the procurement strategy and the
selection of contract type. The common difficulties in this process are related
with the selection of risk response strategy and specific response action.
e) Risk control and monitoring
This study indicated that the risk control
and monitoring is often performed unsystematically. The main reason is the
lacking of the top management’s commitment toward risk management. Risk
monitoring process should be integrated into project monitoring process in
order to assess the effectiveness of risk management process along with the
performance of project during project life cycle.
f) Major difficulties in the implementation of
risk management
Based on the result of this study, the most
common difficulties in the implementation of risk management are revealed
namely: (1) lack of historical data of similar completed projects; (2) Lack of
top management’s commitment towards risk management; (3) lack of experience in
risk management. By solving these difficulties, risk management have more
opportunities to performing successfully in Vietnam commercial projects.
His thesis abstract is copied below.
Abstract
During preconstruction process, from project
has been established until the end of tendering phase when construction phase
prepare to start, the construction project is highly involved with risk and
uncertainties. Project risks related with preconstruction process impact on not
only design phase but also construction and O&M phase. Therefore, risk
management in this process is very important and essential in order to obtain
project objectives. Moreover, owner of commercial project has been involved to
whole life cycle of project, from inception stage until project disposal.
Therefore, the construction cost and long-term O&M cost, which is
determined in preconstruction process, can effect significantly into profit
margin of Owner Company. For this reason, risk management during
preconstruction process is very important aspect of project management for
commercial projects. This research focus on the major risks that commercial project
in Vietnam encounter during preconstruction process and its impact on the
objective of project life cycle. In addition, current practice of risk
management during preconstruction process in Vietnam also is investigated to
find out the difficulties in the implementation of risk management. Thus,
recommendations for improving risk management practice in Vietnam are proposed.
Keywords: Risk Management; Preconstruction
Process; Vietnam Commercial Projects; Critical Risks; Project Life Cycle.